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More deception by The Lancet

The Naked Emperor’s Newsletter | July 24, 2023

In March, The Lancet published a paper “Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold: a health impact assessment study in 854 cities in Europe”.

Despite all the doom-mongering, the paper reported what we all know – the cold kills far more people than the heat does. In fact, it kills around 10 times more people. In the 854 urban areas in Europe, 203,620 people died from the cold and 20,173 from the heat. This corresponds to 129 per 100,000 person-years for the cold and 13 per 100,000 person-years for the heat.

But there is a narrative to maintain – the world is burning up.

So, when presenting their results, the chart that was shown was as follows:

It looks as though heat deaths are almost as bad as cold deaths. However, if you look closely, that’s because they have changed the axis for the heat related excess death rate.

When the axis on the right is redrawn (h/t Bjorn Lomborg) so that it is the same as the one on the left, you get a chart that looks like this.

Image

But I guess that isn’t as scary and won’t stop you driving your car or going on holiday.

July 26, 2023 - Posted by | Deception, Science and Pseudo-Science

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