Why China is winning the chips race: materials, markets, money, and Moore’s Law
Inside China Business | December 31, 2024
Huawei and SMIC are quickly catching up to global rivals in advanced semiconductor manufacturing, which is surprising to many industry analysts. Chinese tech firms enjoy access to China’s enormous supply chain advantages, such as in refined silicon, and in wafer manufacturing. Chinese companies are also the biggest buyers of semiconductor chips. China is simply too big a market for Western companies to lose, and so they are strongly motivated to go around the export bans, or even set up manufacturing and distribution plants in-country and be outside of US and European oversight. The Chinese central government, a host of local governments, and Chinese companies themselves have invested far over $100 billion in their semiconductor industry in recent years, which is much more than investments made by other countries. But another feature of today’s chip industry is that Moore’s Law is reaching the limits of what semiconductor companies can do. Massive investments in capital and time are required to build the next generation of ever-smaller chips. So companies have turned to “chip packaging” to achieve high productivity gains, using existing chips. Chip Packaging is an area where Chinese companies are already strong, and allows them to employ economies of scale. This plays directly into their industrial strengths. The timing of the semiconductor chips war, therefore, has been beneficial to China. It has allowed Chinese firms to catch up, and fast.
Resources and links:
Substack, for video transcript and direct links https://kdwalmsley.substack.com/p/why…
Nikkei, The great nanometer chip race https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/The…
Nikkei Exclusive: Inside Huawei’s mission to boost China’s tech prowess https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech…
Bloomberg, China Creates $47.5 Billion Chip Fund to Back Nation’s Firms https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl…
South China Morning Post, Tech war: Beijing sets up US$1.2 billion semiconductor fund as China splurges on chips https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-war/ar…
SCMP, Tech war: Shanghai injects US$1 billion into chip fund as China strives for self-reliance https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-war/ar…
The Diplomat, China’s Big Fund 3.0: Xi’s Boldest Gamble Yet for Chip Supremacy https://thediplomat.com/2024/06/china… Substack, The Semiconductor Trade War https://www.apricitas.io/p/the-semico…
China remains crucial for U.S. chipmakers amid rising tensions between the world’s top two economies https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/12/china…
Semiconductor supply chain: Political and physical challenges in 2024 and beyond https://www.spglobal.com/market-intel…
Bloomberg, US Asks South Korea to Toughen Export Curbs on China Chips https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl…
Wafer Pro, China’s Dominance in the Global Silicon Supply https://waferpro.com/chinas-dominance…
Inside China Business, Chinese companies are going around US semiconductor export bans. So are American companies.
• Chinese companies are going around US…


Excellent, informative, balanced report! Chip, chip, chip away, China!
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A mind-boggling video! (I noted “Nikkei” cited throughout … that’s of Japanese roots and is apparently a global IT industry trade reference. Interesting….)
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