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The Truth About the Covid ‘Crisis’ in India

By Will Jones • Lockdown Sceptics • April 27, 2021

Now that Chile is settling down a bit, the latest Covid cautionary tale is India, which never seems to be out of the news at the moment as its positive cases and deaths have rocketed in the past few weeks.

Even the usually level-headed Kate Andrews in the Spectator has been painting the situation in lurid colours.

As it happened, the UK’s worst nightmares were never realised. The Nightingale hospitals built to increase capacity were barely used. But what the British Government feared most is now taking place elsewhere. India is suffering an exponential growth in infections, with more than 349,000 cases reported yesterday, as well as nearly 3,000 deaths. Hospitals are running out of oxygen for patients and wards are overflowing. There are reports of long queues as the sick wait to be seen by medical professionals. It’s expected the situation will deteriorate further before it gets better.

Jo Nash, who lived in India until recently and still has many contacts out there, has written a very good piece for Left Lockdown Sceptics putting the current figures in context – something no mainstream outlet seems to have any interest in doing.

Jo makes the crucial point that we need to keep in mind the massive difference in scale between India and the UK. At 1.4 billion people, India is more than 20 times larger than the UK, so to compare Covid figures fairly we must divide India’s by 20. So 2,000 deaths a day is equivalent to a UK toll of 100. India’s current official total Covid deaths of approaching 200,000 is equivalent to just 10,000 in the UK.

In a country the size of India and with the huge number of health challenges faced by the population, the number of Covid deaths needs to be kept in perspective. As Sanjeev Sabhlock observes in the Times of India, 27,000 people die everyday in India. This includes 2,000 from diarrhoea and 1,200 from TB (vaccinations for which have been disrupted by the pandemic). The lack of adequate hospital provision for Covid patients may be more a reflection of the state of the health service than the severity of the disease.

Jo Nash also points out that poor air quality plays a role.

Delhi, the focus of the media’s messaging, and the source of many of the media’s horrifying scenes of suffering, has the most toxic air in the world which often leads to the city having to close down due to the widespread effects on respiratory health…

Respiratory diseases including COPD, TB, and respiratory tract infections like bronchitis leading to pneumonia are always among the top ten killers in India. These conditions are severely aggravated by air pollution and often require oxygen which can be in short supply during air pollution crises…

According to my contacts on the ground, people in Delhi are suffering from untreated respiratory and lung conditions that are now becoming serious. I’ve also had breathing problems there when perfectly healthy and started to mask up to keep the particulate matter out of my lungs. I used to suffer from serious chest infections twice yearly during the big changes in weather in India, usually November/December and April/May. When I reluctantly masked up that stopped. My contacts have reported that the usual seasonal bronchial infections have not been properly treated by doctors afraid of getting Covid, and people’s avoidance of government hospitals due to fear of getting Covid. Undoubtedly, these fears will have been fuelled by the media’s alarmist coverage of the situation. Consequently, the lack of early intervention means many respiratory conditions have developed life-threatening complications. Also, people from surrounding rural areas often travel to Delhi for treatment as it has the best healthcare facilities and people can go there for a few rupees by train. This puts pressure on Delhi’s healthcare system during respiratory virus seasons.

Positive cases look like they may be peaking in many regions now.

One mystery, as yet unexplained, is why India, which has not experienced a strong surge like this so far, suddenly did in March and April. Adding to the mystery is that the simultaneity of the surge across the regions is unexpected in a country as large as India and contrary to earlier outbreaks last year. Nick Hudson from Panda suggests it means there must be something artificial about it as it is not a natural pattern, since viruses naturally spread across the country with some delay and variation evident between regions.

From Teddy Petrou
From Ruminator Dan

It hasn’t escaped people’s attention that one novel factor is the nationwide vaccine programme rollout, beginning in January and accelerating during March. Is this a further example of the post-vaccine infection spike seen in the various trials and population studies, possibly caused by temporary suppression of the immune system?

Testing is another possible factor, as the number of tests being carried out surged in March and April – though so did the positive rate, suggesting this can’t be the only explanation.

Whatever is going on, it’s a pity there is not more curiosity among our scientists and journalists. Instead, it’s just the usual scaremongering driven by the misrepresentation of data.

Stop Press: Former Assistant Secretary-General of the United Nations Professor Ramesh Thakur has been in touch with a comment he left on a story in the Australian.

Some context and perspective. India’s Covid deaths yesterday were 2,163 (seven-day rolling average). India’s average daily death toll is 25,000 from all causes.

Second, despite this surge, as of now India’s Covid mortality rate is 140 dead per million people. This compares to 401 for the world average, 1,762 for the US, and 1,869 for the UK. It puts India 119th in the world on this, the single most important statistic for comparison purposes.

Third, the crux of the problem in India is not the proportion of cases and deaths from Covid. Rather, it is the lack of a fit-for-purpose public health infrastructure and medical supplies of equipment and drugs.

Fourth, although Government neglect of public health while prioritising vanity projects like a new Parliament building during the pandemic, building temples and statues etc. is a contributory factor, the real cause of a poor public health system is poverty. Put bluntly, poverty is the world’s biggest killer.

Fifth and finally, this is why a strong economy is not an optional luxury but an essential requirement for good health.

April 27, 2021 - Posted by | Mainstream Media, Warmongering | ,

3 Comments »

  1. Noted. No more impressed than I’m impressed by other reporting efforts that are looking for a platform to aggrandize personal careers and/or fiscal bottom lines and/or to stir up controversy for controversy’s own sake. The graphs are mind-bending and become mere blips on the screen. (Figures don’t lie, but liars figure…across many fields and perspectives and theories.)

    The author may cite the “2,000 deaths per day” (or is it “nearly 3,000 deaths per day”?) as having an obvious correlation to numbers of people in the population sample group (India)…duh. But if the author, or I, or you, were one or two or three among those 2,000 dying per day, THAT CORRELATION WOULD BE MEANINGLESS AND INSULTING.

    I noted on TV last night that the US death toll attributed to CoVID-19 is approaching a rotting-flesh-level stench of 600,000 human beings. Surely, if we asked, Mr. Jones would be able to sniff out for us graphs, quotations from “experts,” reports, impressive statistics et al that would put those 600,000 in “perspective.” Yeah….

    A moment of levity: I had to chuckle when I read this single, simple statement from Ms. Nash “When I reluctantly masked up that stopped.” Wow….

    “Put bluntly, poverty is the world’s biggest killer.” Amen.

    Like

    Comment by roberthstiver | April 27, 2021 | Reply

  2. Absolutely but something else missed far too often is the air quality that these people are made to live with is aided by Government entities corporation laws to hide behind making them the very creators of these viruses and ailments and just for maximum profits with no concern for their people and the most insulting thing is every government around the world have become complicit with Genocide on the Population and then when you consider they have given these non-medical corporations immunity and not medical doctors are ludicrous at best and have turned to use Humans as Lab Rats and it appears that every human being around the world must respond with one voice and the push back must be of the same level as put upon them and Governments must remove immunities from these fraudulent entities and it would stop in that instant but only appears the lights are on but no-one is home

    Liked by 1 person

    Comment by wteach64 | April 28, 2021 | Reply

    • I like your comment on “economic imperialism” — that spreads its tentacles and impoverishes the poor, the disenfranchised,
      in so many ways….

      Like

      Comment by roberthstiver | April 28, 2021 | Reply


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