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Interpreting The US’ Threat Of “Significant & Long-Term Consequences” For India

By Andrew Korybko | One World Press | April 7, 2022

Director of the White House National Economic Council Brian Deese told reporters on Wednesday that there will be “significant and long-term consequences” if his country assesses that India has engaged in a so-called “more explicit strategic alignment” with Russia. New Delhi has thus far impressively practiced a policy of principled neutrality towards Moscow’s ongoing special military operation in Ukraine and the New Cold War more broadly between the US on one hand and Russia and China on the other. This South Asian state is the world’s largest and most important non-aligned country that’s setting a proud example for the rest of its Global South peers. The US is afraid that countless more countries will follow India’s lead by continuing to bravely defy Washington’s unilateral hegemonic pressure to sanction Russia.

Deese’s remarks represent the most ominous American threat to India yet since ties between these two Great Powers became complicated from summer 2020 onwards into the present day. Considering the context of the rolling “South Asian Spring” regime change scenario that the US simultaneously activated against Pakistan and Sri Lanka over the weekend, his statement adds credence to suspicions that India is actually the ultimate target of this campaign. It’s unclear what “significant and long-term consequences” will befall Indian-American relations, but it certainly seems like their ties will at the very least continue deteriorating if the US continues aggressively pressuring India to sacrifice its objective national interests for its supposed partner’s sake.

The sudden onset of regional stability along India’s periphery is intended to destabilize that country itself, both immediately and over time. In the event that the Pakistan and/or Sri Lanka’s multipolar governments are replaced by American puppets, then US bases might pop up in those neighboring countries. The so-called “anti-Indian hawks” in Islamabad’s “establishment” might become emboldened to violate the year-long ceasefire with New Delhi in order to punish that country by proxy at Washington’s behest for its policy of principled neutrality. With respect to Colombo, a US naval base could threaten India’s Sea Lines Of Communication (SLOC). Washington might even use the island as a base to encourage separatist movements in Southern India.

To be absolutely clear, India is not engaging in a so-called “explicit strategic alignment” with Russia, it’s simply advancing its objective national interests by remaining neutral in the Ukrainian Conflict and refusing to sacrifice its own for America’s sake. By default, however, the zero-sum unipolar hegemonic perspective embraced by US strategists influences them to regard this balanced policy as supposedly “taking Russia’s side” in the New Cold War. This false assessment is then in turn incorporated into its policy formulation towards that country, thus resulting in Deese’s ominous threat. Given the US’ decades-long track record of betraying former partners in the worst ways possible by orchestrating regime changes and even waging Hybrid Wars against them, India should be very concerned by what he just said.

America seems to be preparing for a fundamental change in its relationship with India, which will certainly affect the balance of interests in Eurasia. Thus far, New Delhi has been doing its utmost to retain that balance between itself, Russia, and China, ergo its policy of principled neutrality in order to ensure that Moscow doesn’t become disproportionately dependent on Beijing in response to the US-led West’s unprecedented pressure campaign. Nevertheless, India also hoped to retain excellent relations with the US at the same time in order to further synchronize the geo-economic aspects of their respective Indo-Pacific strategies. This grand strategic balancing act is now at risk of becoming unbalanced if the US unilaterally decides to worsen relations with India.

The form that this could take remains unclear, but the reader should remember that an intensification of information warfare against India as well as potential economic warfare and possibly even other more dangerous forms of Hybrid Warfare can’t be discounted due to the US’ track record. Security threats will spike in the event that the Pakistani and/or Sri Lankan governments are overthrown throughout the course of the ongoing “South Asian Spring” regime change campaign that the US has unleashed throughout the region. With these forecasts in mind, it’s of the highest importance that the South Asian states seriously consider reviving the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in order to advance “regional solutions for regional problems” and thus thwart the US’ plots.

Andrew Korybko is an American political analyst.

April 7, 2022 - Posted by | Aletho News | , , , , ,

6 Comments »

  1. They must hang together, or they will all hang separately, to coin a phrase.

    Liked by 1 person

    Comment by traducteur | April 7, 2022 | Reply

  2. Scintillating analysis! Deese, for one neocon, should be roundly and publicly dissed by intelligent/aware folk (We, the People? if only…) — and dismissed/cashiered/run outta town on a one-way rail.

    But, hmm: reviewing the “Interventions” display, shouldn’t “Syria” be included somewhere such as “2007-Present”? and woudn’t “Iraq, 2003-Present” be a more accurate/telling entry? and how about “Palestine, 1973” to highlight the US’ “intervention” via weapons-of-war and other support for the Zionist terrormonster to ensure that the Arab World wouldn’t/couldn’t exact revenge for the 1967 6-Day War? Well, sh*t: after all, the graphic portrayal of arrogance and belligerence and war and lust for hegemony/full-spectrum global dominance is endless in its scope….

    Like

    Comment by roberthstiver | April 8, 2022 | Reply

  3. We need to return to the principles of respect for National Sovereignty, Peaceful Coexistence, and Non intervention that were enshrined in International Law and the UN Charter. In addition, we have to end all neocolonialist financial structures and allow nations to have National Banking and to foster economic development. Watch tomorrow 4/9 all day, starting at 9am , an International Conference by Schiller Institute, with presentations by Diplomats, Government political , union business and union leaders, https://schillerinstitute.com/blog/2022/04/08/conference-for-a-conference-to-establish-a-new-security-and-development-architecture-for-all-nations/

    Liked by 1 person

    Comment by Marty | April 8, 2022 | Reply

    • 9 AM EDT = 3 AM here in Hawaii for me; will try…all day is a stretch for a 78 yo cripple (spine) entering into dementia. Thanks for the lead.

      Yours is a great comment. Amen. My church (United Methodist) pastor recently asked for “vision” ideas from congregants. Mine was — of course knowing that heads would nod wisely and then nothing done — that we ‘Christians’ need to act as disciples of The Prince of Peace and advocate (ROOOAR — it’s the Year of the Tiger) for our denomination, spreading nation-wide to other denominations and worldwide to, e.g., the World Council of Churches…and DEMAND, in the name of Christianity and ‘civilization,’ worldwide DISARMAMENT. DISARM Military Industrial Complexes here, there, and everywhere, starting by principled example right here in River City. Quaint? Naive? surely so…but the urgency is there, and compelling in the realm of many TRILLIONS OF TREASURE better utilized for the good of “the other.” I wonder if tomorrow’s Schiller webinar will even think of “going there”…?

      Like

      Comment by roberthstiver | April 8, 2022 | Reply

    • The times for the webinar seem not to be accurate! Can it be that, e.g., “(9:00 am; 3:00 pm CET)” is correct?! I don’t think so….

      Like

      Comment by roberthstiver | April 8, 2022 | Reply

      • Just realized that CET = Central European Time (I hope/presume)…I’m too Ameri-centric, mis-taking CET for CDT = Central Daylight Time!

        Like

        Comment by roberthstiver | April 9, 2022 | Reply


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