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All-Out War in Ukraine: NATO’s ‘Final Offensive’

By James Petras :: 11.20.2014

Introduction

There are clear signs that a major war is about to break out in Ukraine: A war actively promoted by the NATO regimes and supported by their allies and clients in Asia (Japan) and the Middle East (Saudi Arabia).

The war over Ukraine will essentially run along the lines of a full-scale military offensive against the southeast Donbas region, targeting the breakaway ethnic Ukraine- Russian Peoples Republic of Donetsk and Lugansk, with the intention of deposing the democratically elected government, disarming the popular militias, killing the guerrilla resistance partisans and their mass base, dismantling the popular representative organizations and engaging in ethnic cleansing of millions of bilingual Ukraino-Russian citizens. NATO’s forthcoming military seizure of the Donbas region is a continuation and extension of its original violent putsch in Kiev, which overthrew an elected Ukrainian government in February 2014.

The Kiev junta and its newly ‘elected’ client rulers, and its NATO sponsors are intent on a major purge to consolidate the puppet Poroshenko’s dictatorial rule. The recent NATO-sponsored elections excluded several major political parties that had traditionally supported the country’s large ethnic minority populations, and was boycotted in the Donbas region. This sham election in Kiev set the tone for NATO’s next move toward converting Ukraine into one gigantic US multi-purpose military base aimed at the Russian heartland and into a neo-colony for German capital, supplying Berlin with grain and raw materials while serving as a captive market for German manufactured goods.

An intensifying war fever is sweeping the West; the consequences of this madness appear graver by the hour.

War Signs: The Propaganda and Sanctions Campaign, the G20 Summit and the Military Build Up

The official drum- beat for a widening conflict in Ukraine, spearheaded by the Kiev junta and its fascist militias, echoes in every Western mass media outlet, every day. Major mass media propaganda mills and government ‘spokesmen and women’ publish or announce new trumped-up accounts of growing Russian military threats to its neighbors and cross-border invasions into Ukraine. New Russian incursions are ‘reported’ from the Nordic borders and Baltic states to the Caucusus. The Swedish regime creates a new level of hysteria over a mysterious “Russian” submarine off the coast of Stockholm, which it never identifies or locates – let alone confirms the ‘sighting’ of. Estonia and Latvia claim Russian warplanes violated their air space without confirmation. Poland expels Russian “spies” without proof or witnesses. Provocative full-scale joint NATO-client state military exercises are taking place along Russia’s frontiers in the Baltic States, Poland, Romania and Ukraine.

NATO is sending vast arms shipments to the Kiev junta, along with “Special Forces” advisers and counter-insurgency experts in anticipation of a full-scale attack against the rebels in the Donbas.

The Kiev regime has never abided by the Minsk cease fire. According to the UN Human Rights office 13 people on average –mostly civilians –have been killed each day since the September cease fire. In eight weeks, the UN reports that 957 people have been killed –overwhelmingly by Kiev’s armed forces.

The Kiev regime, in turn, has cut all basic social and public services to the Peoples’ Republics’, including electricity, fuel, civil service salaries, pensions, medical supplies, salaries for teachers and medical workers, municipal workers wages; banking and transport have been blockaded.

The strategy is to further strangle the economy, destroy the infrastructure, force an even greater mass exodus of destitute refugees from the densely populated cities across the border into Russia and then to launch massive air, missile, artillery and ground assaults on urban centers as well as rebel bases.

The Kiev junta has launched an all-out military mobilization in the Western regions, accompanied by rabid anti-Russian, anti-Eastern Orthodox indoctrination campaigns designed to attract the most violent far right chauvinist thugs and to incorporate the Nazi-style military brigades into the frontline shock troops. The cynical use of irregular fascist militias will ‘free’ NATO and Germany from any responsibility for the inevitable terror and atrocities in their campaign. This system of ‘plausible deniability’ mirrors the tactics of the German Nazis whose hordes of fascist Ukrainians and Ustashi Croats were notorious in their epoch of ethnic cleansing.

G20-plus-NATO: Support of the Kiev Blitz

To isolate and weaken resistance in the Donbas and guarantee the victory of the impending Kiev blitz, the EU and the US are intensifying their economic, military and diplomatic pressure on Russia to abandon the nascent peoples’ democracy in the south-east region of Ukraine, their principle ally.

Each and every escalation of economic sanctions against Russia is designed to weaken the capacity of the Donbas resistance fighters to defend their homes, towns and cities. Each and every Russian shipment of essential medical supplies and food to the besieged population evokes a new and more hysterical outburst – because it counters the Kiev-NATO strategy of starving the partisans and their mass base into submission or provoking their flight to safety across the Russian border.

After suffering a series of defeats, the Kiev regime and its NATO strategists decided to sign a ‘peace protocol’, the so-called Minsk agreement, to halt the advance of the Donbas resistance into the southern regions and to protect Kiev’s soldiers and militias holed-up in isolated pockets in the East. The Minsk agreement was designed to allow the Kiev junta to build up its military, re-organize its command and incorporate the disparate Nazi militias into its overall military forces in preparation for a ‘final offensive’. Kiev’s military build-up on the inside and NATO’s escalation of sanctions against Russia on the outside would be two sides of the same strategy: the success of a frontal attack on the democratic resistance of the Donbas basin depends on minimizing Russian military support through international sanctions.

NATO’s virulent hostility to Russian President Putin was on full display at the G20 meeting in Australia: NATO-linked presidents and prime ministers, especially Merkel, Obama, Cameron, Abbott, and Harper’s political threats and overt personal insults paralleled Kiev’s growing starvation blockade of the besieged rebels and population centers in the south-east. Both the G20’s economic threats against Russia and the diplomatic isolation of Putin and Kiev’s economic blockade are preludes to NATO’s Final Solution – the physical annihilation of all vestiges of Donbas resistance, popular democracy and cultural-economic ties with Russia.

Kiev depends on its NATO mentors to impose a new round of severe sanctions against Russia, especially if its planned invasion encounters a well armed and robust mass resistance bolstered by Russian support. NATO is counting on Kiev’s restored and newly supplied military capacity to effectively destroy the southeast centers of resistance.

NATO has decided on an ‘all-or-nothing campaign’: to seize all of Ukraine or, failing that, destroy the restive southeast, obliterate its population and productive capacity and engage in an all-out economic (and possibly shooting) war with Russia. Chancellor Angela Merkel is on board with this plan despite the complaints of German industrialists over their huge loss of export sales to Russia. President Hollande of France has signed on dismissing the complaints of trade unionists over the loss of thousands French jobs in the shipyards. Prime Minister David Cameron is eager for an economic war against Moscow, suggesting the bankers of the City of London find new channels to launder the illicit earnings of Russian oligarchs.

The Russian Response

Russian diplomats are desperate to find a compromise, which allows Ukraine’s ethnic Ukraine- Russian population in the southeast to retain some autonomy under a federation plan and regain influence within the ‘new’ post-putsch Ukraine. Russian military strategists have provided logistical and military aid to the resistance in order to avoid a repeat of the Odessa massacre of ethnic Russians by Ukrainian fascists on a massive scale. Above all, Russia cannot afford to have NATO-Nazi-Kiev military bases along its southern ‘underbelly’, imposing a blockade of the Crimea and forcing a mass exodus of ethnic Russians from the Donbas. Under Putin, the Russian government has tried to propose compromises allowing Western economic supremacy over Ukraine but without NATO military expansion and absorption by Kiev.

That policy of conciliation has repeatedly failed.

The democratically elected ‘compromise regime’ in Kiev was overthrown in February 2014 in a violent putsch, which installed a pro-NATO junta.

Kiev violated the Minsk agreement with impunity and encouragement from the NATO powers and Germany.

The recent G20 meeting in Australia featured a rabble-rousing chorus against President Putin. The crucial four-hour private meeting between Putin and Merkel turned into a fiasco when Germany parroted the NATO chorus.

Putin finally responded by expanding Russia’s air and ground troop preparedness along its borders while accelerating Moscow’s economic pivot to Asia.

Most important, President Putin has announced that Russia cannot stand by and allow the massacre of a whole people in the Donbas region.

Is Poroshenko’s forthcoming blitz against the people of southeast Ukraine designed to provoke a Russian response – to the humanitarian crisis? Will Russia confront the NATO-directed Kiev offensive and risk a total break with the West?

James Petras latest book is THE POLITICS OF IMPERIALISM:THE US,ISRAEL AND THE MIDDLE EAST (CLARITY PRESS:ATLANTA)

November 21, 2014 - Posted by | Economics, Ethnic Cleansing, Racism, Zionism, Militarism | , , , , , , , , , , , ,

6 Comments »

  1. Reblogged this on TheFlippinTruth.

    Like

    Comment by joekano76 | November 21, 2014 | Reply

  2. One hopes that the keen analyst James Petras is heard the world over, and that leaders come to their senses and prevent what he is suggesting. Peace activists around the Earth have their work cut out for them, and must rise to this occasion with their most powerful efforts.

    Like

    Comment by Jerry "Peacemaker" | November 21, 2014 | Reply

    • I actually tend toward an alternate theory, that being that the sanctions on Russia’s energy exports are the desired end being sought, not hot war. For one thing, bullies don’t pick on tough opponents. But foremost, western oil and gas producers need to create space in the global market for all of their increased output. Closing off Iran’s exports and disrupting Libyan and Iraqi production is not enough anymore.

      Like

      Comment by aletho | November 21, 2014 | Reply

  3. One of Petras’ more powerful articles.

    It should be kept in mind that it was precisely this kind of provocation that led to the first and second world wars. Manufactured provocation on the part of a sinking empire allied with an ambitious former colony.

    As Putin remarked recently [paraphrasing], the US/UK sphere is taking out its own, irrecuperable irresponsibilities on Russia. This sure looks to be the case.

    A new standoff, in contrast to the commonplace, easy military pick-offs [Iraq, Libya, Syria, etc], in circumstances that are a mirror image of those that were exploited by floundering powers to attack Germany, twice.

    Crazy …

    Like

    Comment by hyssop | November 22, 2014 | Reply

  4. lots of loaded terms in there like “Nazi,” and “democratically elected” rump government in the Donbas. And saying NATO is attacking is a bit like saying the US embargo against the Japanese Empire to try and persuade them to with draw from China constituted an offensive War.

    You cannot have a reasonable and coherent conversation when you use loaded terms and presume moral superiority of one side over another.

    Let’s break this down piece by piece.

    1. Ukraine government in Kiev is the legal government in Ukraine including the occupied territories of the Donbas and Crimea. There is full international recognition, save Putin and a few countries who owe him allegiance.

    2. The East Ukraine (Donbas) government is illegal. There is no constitutional basis for this regime, and there was no transparency in the election process.

    3. The only foreign army which has participated in combat is the Russian Federation. Since Russia has not declared war (or similar legal cover) this is illegal and a violation of International Law,

    4. Russia’s occupation of Crimea is an illegal land grab, which doesn’t even have the thin veneer of treaty agreement which Hitler got from the allies to take the Sudetenland from the Czehoslovak Republic in 1938.

    5. Ukraine has the legal right to receive foreign military aid and if they request troops as the sovereign government.

    When you get right down to it, Ukraine has the full legal right to reclaim the lost territory and to try for treason the leaders of the break away. That is not something I’d like to see, but from a legal and moral standpoint they have solid grounds,

    Now are there excesses? Yes, on both sides. Are their foreign mercenaries? Absolutely and verified for both sides (neo-Fascists from Europe on Kiev’s side, Russians and Muslims from the Caucuses on the Russian side).

    The reality is Russia has a dominant military position in the region and leverage with Gas. They are pushing an agenda to challenge the NATO order and place Russia as a major power. It is Putin’s aim to gain a larger sphere of influence. He is a deft politician who has unleashed forces in Russia and Ukraine that probably cannot be easily contained. It is an uncomfortable truth that Russia misjudged the reaction of the West and now is aligning with some of the worst dictators in the world trying to claim moral right. Sad.

    The longer a War goes the weaker Russia will be. They are in the strongest position they can be. If the advance into Ukraine they will find themselves bogged down in a long war of occupation and attrition. Putin knows he needs an exit.

    BTW, Obama is incompetent in foreign policy, otherwise the entire conflict could have been headed off before Russia ever occupied the Crimea. And what he is willing to do I have no clue. It is what it is.

    Like

    Comment by Stuart | November 22, 2014 | Reply

    • 1) Was there no breach of constitutional process in deposing the legitimate Yanukovich presidency?

      2) Is it correct to blithely ignore the mandate of the vast majority?

      3) Is there any actual evidence behind this claim?

      4) Again, is the mandate of the population to be ignored? In the absence of a legitimate central government in Kiev to boot?

      5) No, that would be fueling violence. Arming an illegitimate regime in the process of ethnic cleansing amounts to crimes against humanity.

      Like

      Comment by aletho | November 22, 2014 | Reply


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