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Germany’s vakzine fail

Despite over 67% fully vaxxed covid looks worse than 2020

el gato malo | bad cattitude | november 20, 2021

germany reached 50% fully vaxxed on july 27th. that figure is now over 67%.

it is making NO difference.

all else equal, just given prior surges and the greater past generation of natural immunity you’d expect a drop.

but we’re seeing a major rise instead.

to make this easier to see, i grabbed the our world in data data and plotted it year against year starting august 1.

cases are MUCH higher. they are currently 124% higher as a 7 day moving average than this date last year.

as they have been higher throughout, i also plotted this as cumulative cases.

those are 122% higher overall.

they have had well over twice the full period case count vs a year ago.

this is not an artifact of testing.

testing is actually down year on year.

so the reality is actually worse than described above if one were to adjust for sample rate.

cases would be more like triple last year’s count.

so much for “stopping spread.” that looks like spread acceleration (which was predictable)

bad cattitude
the vaccinated superspread hypothesis
there has been a strange riddle in the covid data of late. we have a lower CFR variant of the disease that has become predominant. delta has roughly 1/3 the case fatality rate of prior variants (like alpha) far more people have acquired immunity from having had and recovered from covid. this immunity is long lasting and extremely effective. … Read more

that is WAY too big a variance to be a 20-45% difference in variant infectiousness.

but that ship had largely sailed.

few with any real familiarity with this data are still claiming that these vaccines stop spread. the evidence has been clear for some time and even the CDC has stopped arguing it.

bad cattitude
if “unvaccinated” were a drug to stop covid spread, you could probably get it FDA approved
all data in this piece come the the UK week 45 vaccine surveillance report or from prior versions of that report. you can download them HERE. it has become an exceedingly well established fact that the covid vaccines are non-sterilizing. they do not prevent infection, transmission, or spread. the balance of evidence now looks very strong that… Read more

but perhaps it works on severity?

nope. on a societal scale, it does not seem to. the hospitalization data was sparse and incomplete for germany, so i looked at deaths instead.

they have been higher all along and are basically indistinguishable now.

taken as a cumulative, deaths are 84% higher than the same time span a year ago despite a variant with notably lower CFR.

much of this may be higher case count. higher cases with lower CFR could land you here. it could also be consistent with some vaccine efficacy.

we’re into the realm of error bars too big to do any useful math on that, but it seems plausible to me that we’re seeing a situation like the UK where despite some VE on death, it’s being swamped by the vaccinated being at higher risk for cases and by a leaky vaccine increasing CFR on delta variant so even the vaccinated have become more likely overall to die of covid.

(if you have triple the cases and triple the CFR vs what you would have had, you’d need 89% VE just to break even. none of these vaccines are even close to that in practice)

we’re obviously playing a bit of a mosaic game here, that would be my odds on bet.

this is the shape of the disaster starting to play out all over the world.

these vaccines have not attenuated covid. they have rekindled its spread.

the vaccinated have become a potent vector to carry the disease and to actually make the disease itself worse because leaky vaccines invert the evolutionary gradient and select for hotter rather than milder strains.

bad cattitude
leaky vaccines, super-spreads, and variant acceleration
the rule of evolution is simple: make a copy of me and pass it on. any species still around to notice is very, very good at this. that’s the test and it’s as simple as it is daunting. this evolutionary selector creates pressures and these pressures shape evolution… Read more

this is going to keep happening as regions come into season. people will blame “the variants” but the fact is that the reason delta case fatality rate basically tripled on an age cohorted basis over the summer (when it should have been dropping) IS the vaccines.

this was not exogenous to human action. it did not “just happen.” this is such an outlier outcome that it might as well be water flowing uphill. when you see that, you have to suspect external forcing and there is an obvious culprit, the timing matches, and we know that this is what leaky vaccines do.

boosting is just going to make it worse and invert the viral gradient even further. any short term help from boosted antibodies (at the price of another round of dangerous adverse events) will just run up a bigger bigger bill to pay when it comes due later, and it’s far from clear that this booster strategy even provides short term help.

it did not help israel.

in fact, there is basically no evidence that their high vaxx rates, green pass, and heavy restrictions accomplished ANYTHING when compared to the neighbors.

i see no way to look at this and say “vaccines worked.”

bad cattitude
vaccines seem to be having no effect on covid death rates in israel when compared to low vaxx palestine
seasonality signals in covid swamp everything else. an alarming number of people keep making the same mistakes around this issue. at a certain point, especially among purported experts, this can only be willful. they do it in the US with the northern and southern states… Read more

this is the outcome no one wanted but that many (including certain internet felines) warned against.

rolling out a functionally untested vaccine t this sort of scale was a wildly reckless global epidemiological joyride. it’s not going well.

i wish i had better news here, but this is unfortunately playing out just as one would predict for a vaccine accelerated double dip pandemic driven by hotter substrain selection and reduction of sterilizing immunity.

i suspect the OAS issue here is very real (and possibly permanent in the vaccinated even post live virus exposure and recovery).

bad cattitude
original antigenic sin
read a zillion SEC documents and medical studies, and you come to realize one useful fact: all the nasty, juicy stuff is in the footnotes. that’s what makes this FIND by alex berenson so interesting. the UK’s most recent vaccine surveillance report (you can find it… Read more

there are going to be some rotten surprises for those who thought they had vaxxed their way out of this.

this was not a fire extinguisher.

more and more, it looks like it was gasoline.

November 22, 2021 - Posted by | Science and Pseudo-Science, War Crimes | ,

1 Comment »

  1. “I just got a new study from a friend in Germany (Max Langen).
    What this new German study shows is: The higher the vaccination rate, the higher the excess mortality.

    I can’t say I’m surprised. These are the deadliest vaccine in human history by a factor of over 800. But it is always nice to get confirmation from multiple sources who have no conflicts.”

    YOU are the disease, their covaid$ death squirt the cure.

    “Once the herd accepts mandatory vaccinations, It’s GAME OVER. They will accept anything – Forcible blood or organ donation- “For the greater good”. We can genetically modify children and sterilize them- “For the greater good”. Control sheep minds and you control the herd. Vaccine makers stand to make billions. And many of you in this room are investors. It’s a BIG win/win. We thin out the herd, and the herd pays us for extermination services”
    Henry Kissinger


    Comment by planetsheeple | November 23, 2021 | Reply

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