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A Peer-Reviewed Statistical Analysis of the 2020 Election

By Andy May | Watts Up With That? | March 31, 2022

Stephen Dinan of the Washington Times reported on a new peer-reviewed paper that analyzes the results of the 2020 election and found Biden received 255,000 excess votes. It has been accepted for publication by the journal Public Choice and was written by Dr. John R. Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center. The linked pdf may not match the final printed version of the paper that will appear in the journal, but it is the copy that was peer-reviewed.

Both Dinan’s article and the paper are worth reading. Unfortunately, statistical analysis doesn’t prove anything, but I found Lott’s analysis impeccable and compelling. His discussion of the problems in several states with mail-in and absentee ballots is interesting and informative. He makes the following points very clearly.

  1. Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin did not match signatures on the outer mail-in envelopes to the official registration records. Some states, like Pennsylvania accepted ballots that were not enclosed in outer envelopes. These acts are in violations of the laws in many states and make it impossible to verify a vote’s legitimacy.
  2. Lott compares votes in adjacent voting precincts, where one of the precincts is accused of voter fraud, as with Georgia’s Fulton County, and finds statistically significant evidence of abnormal mail-in and absentee ballot results. In short, Trump’s absentee ballot share in the Fulton County precincts was depressed, compared to adjoining precincts. The largest estimate of depressed Trump votes was more than Biden’s margin in Georgia.
  3. In Pennsylvania and other states, numerous voters trying to vote in person were told they had already voted absentee, suggesting that someone else had voted using their name. The differences found to be statistically significant in Georgia were not significant in Pennsylvania, but Pennsylvania was missing some essential data for the study, which was a problem.
  4. In Nevada, 42,000 people voted more than once, 1,500 dead people voted, and 19,000 did not have a Nevada residence.
  5. In Wisconsin 28,395 people voted without identification.
  6. In Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, the rejection of improper absentee ballots in 2020 were a fraction of those rejected in 2016.

The most serious problems in the 2020 election were the procedural changes made, generally illegally, in absentee and mail-in voting. This type of voting is discouraged by the Jimmy Carter and James Baker, 2005 voting commission (Carter & Baker, 2005, pp. 46-47). The past problems with absentee voting in Europe have been much worse than in the U.S., at least prior to 2020, and as a result the practice is banned in 35 of 47 countries in Europe. In ten of the countries that allow it, the voter must show up in person and present a photo id, to pick up their absentee ballot. The remaining countries temporarily allowed voting in limited cases. Europe learned the hard way what happens when mail-in ballots are not secured, just as we did.

Lott concludes that his study underestimates the extent of voter fraud because it assumes that no voter fraud occurred with in-person voting. He also concludes that there were 142,000 to 368,000 total excess Biden votes, enough to swing the election. The statistical methods used for the study look valid to me, but as noted above, statistics are not proof. They do suggest that the election should be investigated, and the study shows that the permissive, and mostly illegal, absentee, and mail-in ballot procedures used in 2020 should never be repeated. I recommend everyone read Dinan’s article and the paper.

Works Cited

Carter, J., & Baker, J. (2005). Building Confidence in U.S. Elections. Retrieved from https://www.legislationline.org/download/id/1472/file/3b50795b2d0374cbef5c29766256.pdf

March 31, 2022 - Posted by | Civil Liberties, Corruption, Deception |

3 Comments »

  1. trump received 155 million votes
    two votes for pence
    biden-harris, maybe 10 million (sf, chi, nyc, seattle, atlanta, kiev,)

    Like

    Comment by 5 dancing shlomos | March 31, 2022 | Reply

  2. Why calling the 2020 COUP an ‘election’? How can anyone call this mockery an ‘election’ .

    Massive fraud saw the actual usurper biden take power. As a result USA has fallen into a fascist regime and the puppet biden is pushing for WW3 while implementing the ‘reset’ agenda of his puppet masters.

    biden is:
    1/ A long term pedophile. he has been a pedophile for over 40 years. Everybody knows it, the media, the White house, other politicians, congress, etc… He touches boys and girls on TV with total scorn for the parents, and the public. He is protected by his connections and his puppet masters.
    2/ A sex offender. Lie his son, he doesn’t only gp after children but everything with two boobs that moves. Again, like for the pedophilia, watch the hundreds of public footage where he sexually harass countless women.
    3/ Senile. He is senile, he doesn’t know what he is doing, has not a clue what is really going on and repeat like a parrot what his puppeteers tell him to say. Proof: he goes in poland to ask Putin to be ;removed from power’. Immediately the White House denounces his speech and contradicts him. It doesn’t matter he keeps saying the same BS as if he was completely lobotomized.
    4/ He is a criminal like his son. Moscow sex ring, millions made in Ukraine This is why he hates Putin because his money laundering operation with zelensky is screwed), fraud, abuse of office, embezzlement, etc…
    5/ He is a war criminal and a mass murderer. In all administration he served, he was a war criminal and has millions civilians blood on his dirty hands.
    6/ he is the biggest puppet of all the western puppets (worse even than Trudeau). He is so much a puppet that we can see the string attached to his frail senile body… The only question is, besides the globalists, who is pulling these strings? biden does not speak, he parrots, he does not have ideas, he reads a prompter, he decides nothing, he just follows orders.
    7/ Of course he is an usurper, he lost the 2020 elections but was put in power through unprecedented fraud. This is why he thinks he can do whatever he wants and behave like a dictator. It’s like people who never worked for the money they have, they don’t know the real value of it.
    7/ Finally, he has dementia, and just for that he should be impeached immediately.
    Of course he is also an idiot and a scumbag and this is why the rothschild use him like a cheap carpet

    Like

    Comment by THE UN MUST BE SUPPRESSED | March 31, 2022 | Reply

    • It’s plainly offensive to claim that Americans voted for Biden. It verges on hate speech.

      Like

      Comment by aletho | March 31, 2022 | Reply


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